Top picks · rev. 4 · 2026-07-14 — real market data: transaction prices, not MSRPs · Seattle tax 11.05%
Two picks up top. Everything else is thinking outside the box.
Peter, 2026-07-14Generally Sienna and Telluride are top 1 and 2 contenders. Everything else is thinking outside the box for more comfort, savings, used options, cool factor.
Top 1 · Practical
2026 Toyota Sienna Hybrid AWD
Platinum · sliding doors · 33.5 cu ft way-back · 33 real MPG
$345/mo modeled · real OTD $63.9K w/ trade
Cheapest to own, biggest way-back, sliding doors are a toddler-plus-baby lifestyle multiplier. Markup era over — sells at MSRP to −$1.5K. TSS 2.0 lane-keep is the known compromise.
The only car on the board still selling at/over sticker (markup risk $2–5K). HDA2 is the tiebreaker — now priced at ~$115/mo over the Sienna, up from $84.
Criteria — rev. 3
AWD requiredGround clearance for the Ladybug road (Oroville)6–7 seats + Lupin + gearWireless CarPlay + Android Auto (Rivian exempted for cool-factor bucket)Heated/vented seats + heated wheel on target trimSEA→Oroville (250 mi) must work — L2 at Ladybug now installedLocal electric preferred — supports the comfort/EV bucket, no longer picks the carTowing rare — ≥3,500 lb is table stakes; more earns nothingHard no: Chrysler Pacifica / Stellantis
The rev. 2 fit score is still shown on each card for reference — see the strategy doc appendix for the axis definitions. Under the rev. 3 framing (Sienna & Telluride are the top 2, everything else is outside-the-box), fit score is a supporting signal, not the ranking.